Matchup analysis
Our model projects Packers 27, Panthers 20 at Lambeau Field in Week 8. That is a solid edge: Packers win about 70% of the time by our estimate, with a projected margin of 6.5 points and 47.1 combined points.
The Panthers are 3-3, scoring 26.5 and allowing 27.7 points per game (-1.2 per game). The Packers are 4-3, scoring 20.6 and allowing 20.7 points per game (-0.1 per game).
Expect Panthers to find it hard going: Packers' strong defense (7th) outranks Panthers' middle-of-the-pack offense (16th of 32, worth about 22.7 points against an average defense). Packers' below-average offense (20th of 32, worth about 22.2 points against an average defense) has the clear edge over Panthers' below-average defense (27th); that mismatch is where most of Packers' projected points come from.
The NFL is noisy: even a well-rated projection misses the final margin by about 10 points on average. Based on how real results have scattered around our numbers, the final margin should land somewhere between Panthers by 10 and Packers by 23 about 80% of the time.
The Packers get about 2.6 points for playing at home. Even on a neutral field the ratings would still favour Packers by about 3.9. The game is on Prime Video.
More: Panthers schedule · Packers schedule · all Week 8 projections
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Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
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