Matchup analysis
Our model projects Bengals 30, Titans 16 at Paycor Stadium in Week 8. That is a heavy edge: Bengals win about 85% of the time by our estimate, with a projected margin of 13.7 points and 46.5 combined points. Tags: favorite holds.
The Titans are 1-6, scoring 15.4 and allowing 22.3 points per game (-6.9 per game). The Bengals are 4-2, scoring 27.2 and allowing 20.3 points per game (+6.9 per game).
Bengals' middle-of-the-pack defense (18th) should limit Titans' struggling offense (32nd of 32, worth about 18.2 points against an average defense). The most lopsided unit battle: Bengals' elite offense (3rd of 32, worth about 25.9 points against an average defense) against Titans' below-average defense (25th).
The NFL is noisy: even a well-rated projection misses the final margin by about 10 points on average. Based on how real results have scattered around our numbers, the final margin should land somewhere between Titans by 3 and Bengals by 31 about 80% of the time.
The Bengals get about 2.6 points for playing at home. Even on a neutral field the ratings would still favour Bengals by about 11.1. The game is on CBS.
More: Titans schedule · Bengals schedule · all Week 8 projections
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Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
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