Matchup analysis
Our model projects Seahawks 23, Giants 15 at Lumen Field in Week 14. That is a solid edge: Seahawks win about 74% of the time by our estimate, with a projected margin of 8 points and 38.8 combined points.
The Giants are 4-2-1, scoring 23.3 and allowing 23 points per game (+0.3 per game). The Seahawks are 4-3, scoring 24 and allowing 17.9 points per game (+6.1 per game).
Seahawks' elite defense (2nd) should limit Giants' below-average offense (23rd of 32, worth about 21.8 points against an average defense). The most lopsided unit battle: Seahawks' strong offense (8th of 32, worth about 25.1 points against an average defense) against Giants' middle-of-the-pack defense (19th).
The NFL is noisy: even a well-rated projection misses the final margin by about 10 points on average. Based on how real results have scattered around our numbers, the final margin should land somewhere between Giants by 9 and Seahawks by 25 about 80% of the time.
The Seahawks get about 2.6 points for playing at home. Even on a neutral field the ratings would still favour Seahawks by about 5.4. The game is on Fox.
More: Giants schedule · Seahawks schedule · all Week 14 projections
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Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
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