Matchup analysis
Our model projects Seahawks 22, Eagles 15 at Lincoln Financial Field in Week 15. That is a solid edge: Seahawks win about 72% of the time by our estimate, with a projected margin of 7.2 points and 36.2 combined points.
The Seahawks are 4-3, scoring 24 and allowing 17.9 points per game (+6.1 per game). The Eagles are 2-5, scoring 18.1 and allowing 25 points per game (-6.9 per game).
Seahawks' strong offense (8th of 32, worth about 25.1 points against an average defense) has the clear edge over Eagles' middle-of-the-pack defense (13th); that mismatch is where most of Seahawks' projected points come from. Expect Eagles to find it hard going: Seahawks' elite defense (2nd) outranks Eagles' below-average offense (27th of 32, worth about 20.6 points against an average defense).
The NFL is noisy: even a well-rated projection misses the final margin by about 10 points on average. Based on how real results have scattered around our numbers, the final margin should land somewhere between Seahawks by 24 and Eagles by 10 about 80% of the time.
The Eagles get about 2.6 points for playing at home. The Seahawks are still favoured on the road, so the ratings gap is bigger than the value of playing at home. The game is on Fox.
More: Seahawks schedule · Eagles schedule · all Week 15 projections
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Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
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