NFL Week 15 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 29, 2026

Week 15 of the 2026 NFL season has 16 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Bears at Bills (0.2-point margin), the highest projected total is Cowboys at Rams (47.5 points) and the lowest is Seahawks at Eagles (36.2). 9 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

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Thu, Dec 17, 8:15 PM ESTPrime Video
49ers20
Chargers20
We project 49ers 20-20, a 0.4-point margin with 39.6 total points; 49ers win 51% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
Even
Total 39.6
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 39.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
49ers 51% · total 39.6Full preview →
Sat, Dec 19, 5:00 PM ESTFox
Seahawks22
Eagles15
We project Seahawks 22-15, a 7.2-point margin with 36.2 total points; Seahawks win 72% of the time.
Our number
SEA by 7.2
Total 36.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SEA by 7.2 · Total 36.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 72% · total 36.2Full preview →
Sat, Dec 19, 8:20 PM ESTCBS
Bears22
Bills22
We project Bears 22-22, a 0.2-point margin with 44 total points; Bears win 51% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 44.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 44.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bears 51% · total 44Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Dolphins16
Packers22
We project Packers 22-16, a 5.5-point margin with 37.9 total points; Packers win 67% of the time.
Our number
GB by 5.5
Total 37.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — GB by 5.5 · Total 37.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Packers 67% · total 37.9Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Colts23
Titans22
We project Colts 23-22, a 0.6-point margin with 44.9 total points; Colts win 52% of the time.
Our number
IND by 0.6
Total 44.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — IND by 0.6 · Total 44.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Colts 52% · total 44.9Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Browns19
Giants21
We project Giants 21-19, a 1.7-point margin with 39.5 total points; Giants win 55% of the time.
Our number
NYG by 1.7
Total 39.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NYG by 1.7 · Total 39.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Giants 55% · total 39.5Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Ravens18
Steelers23
We project Steelers 23-18, a 5.3-point margin with 40.6 total points; Steelers win 67% of the time.
Our number
PIT by 5.3
Total 40.6
Book line
Not posted
Our number — PIT by 5.3 · Total 40.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Steelers 67% · total 40.6Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Saints18
Buccaneers23
We project Buccaneers 23-18, a 5.5-point margin with 41.4 total points; Buccaneers win 67% of the time.
Our number
TB by 5.5
Total 41.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — TB by 5.5 · Total 41.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Buccaneers 67% · total 41.4Full preview →

Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Falcons22
Commanders21
We project Falcons 22-21, a 0.7-point margin with 42.7 total points; Falcons win 52% of the time.
Our number
ATL by 0.7
Total 42.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — ATL by 0.7 · Total 42.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Falcons 52% · total 42.7Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Bengals23
Panthers23
We project Panthers 23-23, a 0.3-point margin with 45.7 total points; Panthers win 51% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 45.6
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 45.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Panthers 51% · total 45.7Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Jaguars21
Texans20
We project Jaguars 21-20, a 0.4-point margin with 41.2 total points; Jaguars win 51% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 41.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 41.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jaguars 51% · total 41.2Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 4:05 PM ESTFox
Jets22
Cardinals24
We project Cardinals 24-22, a 1.3-point margin with 45.7 total points; Cardinals win 54% of the time.
Our number
ARI by 1.3
Total 45.6
Book line
Not posted
Our number — ARI by 1.3 · Total 45.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Cardinals 54% · total 45.7Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 4:25 PM ESTCBS
Broncos23
Raiders20
We project Broncos 23-20, a 3.7-point margin with 43.1 total points; Broncos win 62% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
DEN by 3.7
Total 43.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — DEN by 3.7 · Total 43.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Broncos 62% · total 43.1Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 4:25 PM ESTCBS
Cowboys22
Rams26
We project Rams 26-22, a 3.9-point margin with 47.5 total points; Rams win 62% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
LA by 3.9
Total 47.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — LA by 3.9 · Total 47.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rams 62% · total 47.5Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Lions16
Vikings24
We project Vikings 24-16, a 8.6-point margin with 39.9 total points; Vikings win 75% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
MIN by 8.6
Total 39.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — MIN by 8.6 · Total 39.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 75% · total 39.9Full preview →
Mon, Dec 21, 8:15 PM ESTESPN / ABC
Patriots18
Chiefs19
We project Chiefs 19-18, a 0.9-point margin with 36.5 total points; Chiefs win 53% of the time.
Our number
KC by 0.9
Total 36.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — KC by 0.9 · Total 36.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Chiefs 53% · total 36.5Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

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