Back to projector

Kansas City Chiefs

5-1 · AFC West

Season outlook

Projected wins
10.7
range 8–13
Division title
43%
Playoffs
76%

From 10,000 simulated seasons. All 32 teams and how it was tested · Power rankings

2026 season so far

The Chiefs are 5-1, scoring 23.8 and allowing 17.2 points per game (+6.6 per game).

In our opponent-adjusted ratings the Chiefs rank 8th of 32 NFL teams overall — 17th on offense and 3rd on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.

Next up: at Broncos in Week 8. We project Chiefs 20, Broncos 22 — the Chiefs win 45% of the time.

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

2026 season

Times shown in your phone's local time. Everything here is this season only.

Free weekly projections email

One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.