Buffalo Bills
5-1 · AFC East
Season outlook
- Projected wins
- 10.7
- range 8–13
- Division title
- 59%
- Playoffs
- 77%
From 10,000 simulated seasons. All 32 teams and how it was tested · Power rankings
2026 season so far
The Bills are 5-1, scoring 32.8 and allowing 28.5 points per game (+4.3 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings the Bills rank 3rd of 32 NFL teams overall — 1st on offense and 24th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: vs Ravens in Week 8. We project Bills 31, Ravens 21 — the Bills win 78% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
2026 season
- Wk 1
at Houston Texans36–31 · Reliant StadiumWon - Wk 2
vs Detroit Lions41–31 · Highmark StadiumWon - Wk 3
vs Los Angeles Chargers24–16 · Highmark StadiumWon - Wk 4
vs New England Patriots26–29 · Highmark StadiumLost - Wk 5
at Los Angeles Rams37–34 · SoFi StadiumWon - Wk 6
at Las Vegas Raiders33–30 · Allegiant StadiumWon - Wk 8
vs Baltimore RavensSun, Nov 1, 6:00 PM · Highmark StadiumProjected 31-21 · 78% - Wk 9
at Minnesota VikingsTue, Nov 10, 1:15 AM · U.S. Bank StadiumProjected 18-25 · 29% - Wk 10
at New York JetsSun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM · MetLife StadiumProjected 22-22 · 47% - Wk 11
vs Miami DolphinsSun, Nov 22, 6:00 PM · Highmark StadiumProjected 25-18 · 69% - Wk 12
vs Kansas City ChiefsFri, Nov 27, 1:20 AM · Highmark StadiumProjected 21-20 · 54% - Wk 13at New England PatriotsSun, Dec 6, 9:25 PM · Gillette StadiumProjected 19-22 · 41%
- Wk 14
at Green Bay PackersMon, Dec 14, 1:20 AM · Lambeau FieldProjected 20-21 · 44% - Wk 15
vs Chicago BearsSun, Dec 20, 1:20 AM · Highmark StadiumProjected 22-22 · 49% - Wk 16
at Denver BroncosFri, Dec 25, 9:30 PM · Empower Field at Mile HighProjected 19-23 · 36% - Wk 17at Miami DolphinsSun, Jan 3, 6:00 PM · Hard Rock StadiumProjected 23-20 · 59%
- Wk 18vs New York JetsSun, Jan 10, 6:00 PM · Highmark StadiumProjected 24-20 · 63%
Times shown in your phone's local time. Everything here is this season only.
Free weekly projections email
One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.