Merrimack vs App State prediction

Mon, 02 Nov 2026 11:00:00 GMT · Field of 68 Opening Day Marathon · neutral site

Projected score: Merrimack 66, App State 67. App State by 0.1, total 132.9, App State win chance 50%. Book line: Merrimack −3.5, total 134.5, moneyline -170 / 142.

Merrimack: net −1.0 (#180), 0-0. App State: net −1.2 (#190), 0-0.

Signals on this game

• Model +2 dog → Underdog covers: 6102-6082 since 2018-19 (typical 50%)
• Model picks dog → Underdog wins: 1363-1769 since 2018-19 (typical 44%)
• Grind-it-out → Under: 1418-1520 since 2018-19 (typical 50%)
• Coin flip → Favourite wins: 4146-3160 since 2018-19 (typical 56%)
• Model likes dog ML → Underdog wins: 2338-5203 since 2018-19 (typical 32%)
• Nov · Both slow → Under: 342-268 since 2018-19 (typical 50%)
• Both outside 150 · Both slow → Under: 118-110 since 2018-19 (typical 51%)

Merrimack schedule · App State schedule

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.