Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play
The model projects Detroit Pistons to win by 6.1 points (70% win probability), projected score BKN 109, DET 115, total 223.9 (80% range 200–247). The largest driver is player on-court impact (4.6 points toward DET).
Matchup
Detroit Pistons rank 8 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.9 points against an average opponent, about 48 projected wins in 2026-27); Brooklyn Nets rank 30 (−5.5, about 25 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 9.4 points to Detroit Pistons; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 6.1-point margin above. A 70% win probability means Detroit Pistons should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +1.3 (BKN margin)
- Player box-score production: −3.6 (BKN margin)
- Player on-court impact: −4.6 (BKN margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.2 (BKN margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +1.9 (BKN margin)
Rest and travel
DET: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 483 miles of travel. BKN: 2 day(s) of rest, 190 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
DET: Cade Cunningham 33, Elijah Harkless 25, Taurean Prince 24, Ausar Thompson 24, Jalen Duren 23, Daniss Jenkins 23, Duncan Robinson 23, John Collins 19, Kevin Huerter 10.
BKN: Julius Randle 24, Michael Porter Jr. 23, Ben Saraf 21, Tyson Etienne 20, Drake Powell 20, Egor Demin 19, E.J. Liddell 18, Terance Mann 16, Danny Wolf 16.
Four factors
| DET (2025-26) | BKN (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 114.4 | 105.9 |
| DRtg | 106.5 | 115.9 |
| Pace | 102.3 | 99.6 |
| eFG% | 54.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 23.6% |
| FT rate | 0.292 | 0.272 |
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 57.1% |
Brooklyn Nets · Detroit Pistons · Track record
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.