Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
The model projects New York Knicks to win by 4.5 points (65% win probability), projected score NYK 112, DET 107, total 219.2 (80% range 196–243). The largest driver is home court (1.3 points toward NYK).
Matchup
Detroit Pistons rank 8 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.9 points against an average opponent, about 48 projected wins in 2026-27); New York Knicks rank 3 (+6.3, about 53 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 2.4 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 4.5-point margin above. A 65% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +1.3 (NYK margin)
- Player box-score production: +1.1 (NYK margin)
- Player on-court impact: +0.9 (NYK margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.5 (NYK margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.8 (NYK margin)
Rest and travel
DET: 1 day(s) of rest, 85 miles of travel. NYK: 1 day(s) of rest.
Projected minutes
DET: Cade Cunningham 33, Elijah Harkless 25, Taurean Prince 24, Ausar Thompson 24, Jalen Duren 23, Daniss Jenkins 23, Duncan Robinson 23, John Collins 19, Kevin Huerter 10.
NYK: Jalen Brunson 36, OG Anunoby 32, Mikal Bridges 31, Josh Hart 30, Karl-Anthony Towns 28, Landry Shamet 19, Miles McBride 13, Jose Alvarado 10, Andre Drummond 10.
Four factors
| DET (2025-26) | NYK (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 114.4 | 116.8 |
| DRtg | 106.5 | 110.4 |
| Pace | 102.3 | 99.4 |
| eFG% | 54.6% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.6% |
| FT rate | 0.292 | 0.237 |
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 54.0% |
New York Knicks · Detroit Pistons · Track record
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.