New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
The model projects New York Knicks to win by 6.6 points (71% win probability), projected score CHI 113, NYK 120, total 232.4 (80% range 209–256). The largest driver is player on-court impact (5.5 points toward NYK).
Matchup
New York Knicks rank 3 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+6.3 points against an average opponent, about 53 projected wins in 2026-27); Chicago Bulls rank 27 (−3.9, about 29 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 10.2 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 6.6-point margin above. A 71% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +1.3 (CHI margin)
- Player box-score production: −3.4 (CHI margin)
- Player on-court impact: −5.5 (CHI margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.4 (CHI margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +2.4 (CHI margin)
Rest and travel
NYK: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 713 miles of travel. CHI: 1 day(s) of rest, 851 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
NYK: Jalen Brunson 36, OG Anunoby 32, Mikal Bridges 31, Josh Hart 30, Karl-Anthony Towns 28, Landry Shamet 19, Miles McBride 13, Jose Alvarado 10, Andre Drummond 10.
CHI: Josh Giddey 24, Leonard Miller 23, Matas Buzelis 22, Patrick Williams 21, Isaac Okoro 20, Tre Jones 19, Rob Dillingham 19, Guerschon Yabusele 18, Norman Powell 18.
Four factors
| NYK (2025-26) | CHI (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 116.8 | 110.6 |
| DRtg | 110.4 | 115.5 |
| Pace | 99.4 | 104.8 |
| eFG% | 55.7% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 23.1% |
| FT rate | 0.237 | 0.246 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 55.3% |
Chicago Bulls · New York Knicks · Track record
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.