LA Clippers at Golden State Warriors
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
The model projects Golden State Warriors to win by 5.3 points (67% win probability), projected score GSW 117, LAC 111, total 228.0 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is player box-score production (3.4 points toward GSW).
Matchup
LA Clippers rank 22 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−2.2 points against an average opponent, about 33 projected wins in 2026-27); Golden State Warriors rank 13 (+1.5, about 41 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 3.7 points to Golden State Warriors; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 5.3-point margin above. A 67% win probability means Golden State Warriors should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +1.3 (GSW margin)
- Player box-score production: +3.4 (GSW margin)
- Player on-court impact: +0.5 (GSW margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.3 (GSW margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.4 (GSW margin)
Rest and travel
LAC: 1 day(s) of rest, 1,580 miles of travel. GSW: 1 day(s) of rest.
Projected minutes
LAC: Rui Hachimura 31, Darius Garland 25, Brook Lopez 24, Brandon Ingram 23, Max Strus 22, Kris Dunn 21, Derrick Jones Jr. 20, Bradley Beal 18, Isaiah Jackson 14.
GSW: Brandin Podziemski 23, Stephen Curry 22, Draymond Green 22, Moses Moody 22, Gui Santos 21, Jimmy Butler III 21, De'Anthony Melton 17, Kristaps Porzingis 17, Al Horford 16.
Four factors
| LAC (2025-26) | GSW (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 114.5 | 112 |
| DRtg | 113.3 | 112.6 |
| Pace | 98.9 | 101.7 |
| eFG% | 55.9% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 25.8% |
| FT rate | 0.295 | 0.238 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.3% |
Golden State Warriors · LA Clippers · Track record
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.