Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Hornets
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
The model projects Detroit Pistons to win by 1.1 points (54% win probability), projected score CHA 110, DET 111, total 220.8 (80% range 197–244). The largest driver is player box-score production (1.9 points toward DET).
Matchup
Detroit Pistons rank 8 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.9 points against an average opponent, about 48 projected wins in 2026-27); Charlotte Hornets rank 15 (+0.9, about 41 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 3.0 points to Detroit Pistons; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 1.1-point margin above. A 54% win probability means Detroit Pistons should win about 5 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +1.3 (CHA margin)
- Player box-score production: −1.9 (CHA margin)
- Player on-court impact: −1.0 (CHA margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.6 (CHA margin)
Rest and travel
DET: 2 day(s) of rest, 531 miles of travel. CHA: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights.
Projected minutes
DET: Cade Cunningham 33, Elijah Harkless 25, Taurean Prince 24, Ausar Thompson 24, Jalen Duren 23, Daniss Jenkins 23, Duncan Robinson 23, John Collins 19, Kevin Huerter 10.
CHA: Brandon Miller 26, Kon Knueppel 25, Naz Reid 24, Ryan Nembhard 22, Moussa Diabate 22, Royce O'Neale 19, Grayson Allen 17, Grant Williams 16, Coby White 16.
Four factors
| DET (2025-26) | CHA (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 114.4 | 115.7 |
| DRtg | 106.5 | 110.9 |
| Pace | 102.3 | 99.9 |
| eFG% | 54.6% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 30.5% |
| FT rate | 0.292 | 0.244 |
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 54.0% |
Charlotte Hornets · Detroit Pistons · Track record
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.