Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
The model projects New York Knicks to win by 16.1 points (91% win probability), projected score NYK 120, BKN 104, total 224.8 (80% range 201–248). The largest driver is player on-court impact (5.4 points toward NYK).
Matchup
Brooklyn Nets rank 30 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−5.5 points against an average opponent, about 25 projected wins in 2026-27); New York Knicks rank 3 (+6.3, about 53 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 11.8 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 16.1-point margin above. A 91% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 9 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +1.3 (NYK margin)
- Player box-score production: +4.6 (NYK margin)
- Player on-court impact: +5.4 (NYK margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +1.7 (NYK margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +3.1 (NYK margin)
Rest and travel
BKN: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 644 miles of travel. NYK: 2 day(s) of rest, 85 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
BKN: Julius Randle 24, Michael Porter Jr. 23, Ben Saraf 21, Tyson Etienne 20, Drake Powell 20, Egor Demin 19, E.J. Liddell 18, Terance Mann 16, Danny Wolf 16.
NYK: Jalen Brunson 36, OG Anunoby 32, Mikal Bridges 31, Josh Hart 30, Karl-Anthony Towns 28, Landry Shamet 19, Miles McBride 13, Jose Alvarado 10, Andre Drummond 10.
Four factors
| BKN (2025-26) | NYK (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 105.9 | 116.8 |
| DRtg | 115.9 | 110.4 |
| Pace | 99.6 | 99.4 |
| eFG% | 52.0% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 29.6% |
| FT rate | 0.272 | 0.237 |
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 54.0% |
New York Knicks · Brooklyn Nets · Track record
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.