Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
The model projects Philadelphia 76ers to win by 8.6 points (76% win probability), projected score PHI 125, CHI 116, total 241.2 (80% range 218–265). The largest driver is player box-score production (3.7 points toward PHI).
Matchup
Chicago Bulls rank 27 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−3.9 points against an average opponent, about 29 projected wins in 2026-27); Philadelphia 76ers rank 10 (+2.7, about 45 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 6.6 points to Philadelphia 76ers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 8.6-point margin above. A 76% win probability means Philadelphia 76ers should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +1.3 (PHI margin)
- Player box-score production: +3.7 (PHI margin)
- Player on-court impact: +2.4 (PHI margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.4 (PHI margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.8 (PHI margin)
Rest and travel
CHI: 2 day(s) of rest, 273 miles of travel. PHI: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 448 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
CHI: Josh Giddey 24, Leonard Miller 23, Matas Buzelis 22, Patrick Williams 21, Isaac Okoro 20, Tre Jones 19, Rob Dillingham 19, Guerschon Yabusele 18, Norman Powell 18.
PHI: Tyrese Maxey 29, LeBron James 27, VJ Edgecombe 27, Jaylen Brown 26, Rayan Rupert 25, Joel Embiid 24, Anfernee Simons 19, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 17, Dean Wade 15.
Four factors
| CHI (2025-26) | PHI (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 110.6 | 112.2 |
| DRtg | 115.5 | 112.4 |
| Pace | 104.8 | 102.3 |
| eFG% | 54.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 26.2% |
| FT rate | 0.246 | 0.275 |
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.1% |
Philadelphia 76ers · Chicago Bulls · Track record
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.