Toronto Raptors at LA Clippers
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
The model projects Toronto Raptors to win by 4.5 points (65% win probability), projected score LAC 111, TOR 115, total 226.3 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is player box-score production (4.8 points toward TOR).
Matchup
Toronto Raptors rank 7 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+4.2 points against an average opponent, about 48 projected wins in 2026-27); LA Clippers rank 22 (−2.2, about 33 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 6.4 points to Toronto Raptors; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 4.5-point margin above. A 65% win probability means Toronto Raptors should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +1.3 (LAC margin)
- Player box-score production: −4.8 (LAC margin)
- Player on-court impact: −1.5 (LAC margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.1 (LAC margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.6 (LAC margin)
Rest and travel
TOR: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights. LAC: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 348 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
TOR: RJ Barrett 31, Scottie Barnes 30, Kawhi Leonard 27, Ja'Kobe Walter 26, Jamal Shead 25, Collin Murray-Boyles 21, Immanuel Quickley 20, Jakob Poeltl 16, Andre Jackson Jr. 13.
LAC: Rui Hachimura 31, Darius Garland 25, Brook Lopez 24, Brandon Ingram 23, Max Strus 22, Kris Dunn 21, Derrick Jones Jr. 20, Bradley Beal 18, Isaiah Jackson 14.
Four factors
| TOR (2025-26) | LAC (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 112.9 | 114.5 |
| DRtg | 110.1 | 113.3 |
| Pace | 101 | 98.9 |
| eFG% | 54.6% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 23.7% |
| FT rate | 0.265 | 0.295 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.5% |
LA Clippers · Toronto Raptors · Track record
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.