Chris Sale projection

Chris Sale (LHP, ATL) projects to strike out 31.0% of batters, walk or hit 7.9% and allow home runs to 2.30%, working about 5.8 innings per start.

2026 season: 29 starts, 175.3 innings, 219 strikeouts, 49 walks + HBP, 12 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.264, CSW 30.33%.

Whiff rate 30.1%, barrels allowed 6.3%, hard-hit rate 35.4%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2204 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-10-06595
2026-09-296.395
2026-09-235.797
2026-09-11794
2026-09-046103

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 2.57. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.