2026 World Series predictions

Postseason backtest 2022–2026 (walk-forward): 186 games, 54.8% winners, Brier 0.2537 against 0.25 for a coin flip — no better than a 50/50 guess. Full postseason backtest.

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 50.9% to win the World Series, 67% to win the pennant
  2. Milwaukee Brewers: 19.0% to win the World Series, 33% to win the pennant
  3. Tampa Bay Rays: 16.4% to win the World Series, 53% to win the pennant
  4. Cleveland Guardians: 13.7% to win the World Series, 47% to win the pennant
  5. Boston Red Sox: 0.0% to win the World Series, 0% to win the pennant
  6. Chicago Cubs: 0.0% to win the World Series, 0% to win the pennant
  7. Houston Astros: 0.0% to win the World Series, 0% to win the pennant
  8. San Diego Padres: 0.0% to win the World Series, 0% to win the pennant
  9. Philadelphia Phillies: 0.0% to win the World Series, 0% to win the pennant
  10. Atlanta Braves: 0.0% to win the World Series, 0% to win the pennant
  11. Chicago White Sox: 0.0% to win the World Series, 0% to win the pennant
  12. New York Yankees: 0.0% to win the World Series, 0% to win the pennant

Most likely matchups

Full playoff bracket · 2026 World Series schedule, TV and past winners

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