Martín Pérez projection

Martín Pérez (LHP, ATL) projects to strike out 17.2% of batters, walk or hit 10.1% and allow home runs to 3.00%, working about 5.1 innings per start.

2026 season: 26 starts, 142 innings, 102 strikeouts, 64 walks + HBP, 14 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.354, CSW 26.275%.

Whiff rate 20.9%, barrels allowed 15%, hard-hit rate 39.4%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1824 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-204.379
2026-09-15690
2026-09-10790
2026-09-053.784
2026-08-295.783

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.36. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.