Michael Lorenzen projection
Michael Lorenzen (RHP, TOR) projects to strike out 17.5% of batters, walk or hit 9.6% and allow home runs to 3.40%, working about 4.5 innings per start.
2026 season: 25 starts, 127.3 innings, 90 strikeouts, 60 walks + HBP, 23 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.331, CSW 25.41%.
Whiff rate 23.4%, barrels allowed 8.8%, hard-hit rate 39.2%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2199 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 3.7 | 82 |
| 2026-08-09 | 4.3 | 97 |
| 2026-08-03 | 3 | 75 |
| 2026-07-28 | 4 | 93 |
| 2026-07-21 | 3.7 | 80 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 7.99. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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