Zack Wheeler projection
Zack Wheeler (RHP, PHI) projects to strike out 29.4% of batters, walk or hit 7.8% and allow home runs to 2.90%, working about 5.5 innings per start.
2026 season: 28 starts, 166 innings, 196 strikeouts, 54 walks + HBP, 22 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.247, CSW 28.028%.
Whiff rate 31.5%, barrels allowed 7.2%, hard-hit rate 34.1%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2596 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 6 | 97 |
| 2026-09-22 | 5.7 | 101 |
| 2026-09-16 | 7 | 91 |
| 2026-09-10 | 7 | 110 |
| 2026-09-05 | 6 | 95 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.09. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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