Matthew Boyd projection
Matthew Boyd (LHP, CHC) projects to strike out 21.2% of batters, walk or hit 8.7% and allow home runs to 2.90%, working about 5.5 innings per start.
2026 season: 23 starts, 130.7 innings, 100 strikeouts, 47 walks + HBP, 18 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.301, CSW 26.038%.
Whiff rate 23.1%, barrels allowed 9%, hard-hit rate 38%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1786 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 4 | 58 |
| 2026-09-24 | 7 | 90 |
| 2026-09-19 | 5 | 71 |
| 2026-09-13 | 5.3 | 88 |
| 2026-09-07 | 7 | 100 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 4.34. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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