Clay Holmes projection
Clay Holmes (RHP, CHC) projects to strike out 20.2% of batters, walk or hit 10.8% and allow home runs to 2.10%, working about 5.2 innings per start.
2026 season: 18 starts, 101.3 innings, 78 strikeouts, 44 walks + HBP, 6 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.322, CSW 26.556%.
Whiff rate 22.1%, barrels allowed 6.8%, hard-hit rate 42.3%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1644 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 4.3 | 78 |
| 2026-09-18 | 5.3 | 97 |
| 2026-09-12 | 5.7 | 100 |
| 2026-09-06 | 4.3 | 80 |
| 2026-08-31 | 6 | 101 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.46. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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