Colin Rea projection
Colin Rea (RHP, CHC) projects to strike out 18.5% of batters, walk or hit 8.5% and allow home runs to 3.40%, working about 5.4 innings per start.
2026 season: 19 starts, 137 innings, 101 strikeouts, 54 walks + HBP, 21 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.328, CSW 26.361%.
Whiff rate 22%, barrels allowed 10.3%, hard-hit rate 41%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2310 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | 6 | 87 |
| 2026-07-28 | 6 | 94 |
| 2026-07-22 | 5 | 86 |
| 2026-07-17 | 6 | 91 |
| 2026-07-08 | 5.3 | 91 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 4.47. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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