Nick Martinez projection

Nick Martinez (RHP, TB) projects to strike out 17.6% of batters, walk or hit 6.0% and allow home runs to 2.90%, working about 5.0 innings per start.

2026 season: 32 starts, 183.7 innings, 112 strikeouts, 30 walks + HBP, 22 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.312, CSW 25.795%.

Whiff rate 19.9%, barrels allowed 7%, hard-hit rate 34.5%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2345 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-10-073.763
2026-09-272.750
2026-09-22694
2026-09-16572
2026-09-106.368

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.14. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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