Kyle Freeland projection

Kyle Freeland (LHP, COL) projects to strike out 16.8% of batters, walk or hit 6.5% and allow home runs to 3.70%, working about 4.9 innings per start.

2026 season: 26 starts, 135.3 innings, 108 strikeouts, 36 walks + HBP, 29 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.342, CSW 24.658%.

Whiff rate 21%, barrels allowed 9.4%, hard-hit rate 47.3%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2273 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-27462
2026-09-22369
2026-09-15450
2026-08-193.766
2026-08-14895

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 6.92. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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