Sean Manaea projection

Sean Manaea (LHP, NYM) projects to strike out 24.0% of batters, walk or hit 9.6% and allow home runs to 3.40%, working about 5.5 innings per start.

2026 season: 19 starts, 150.7 innings, 144 strikeouts, 60 walks + HBP, 25 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.31, CSW 28.311%.

Whiff rate 26.8%, barrels allowed 8.9%, hard-hit rate 42.6%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2035 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-276100
2026-09-22699
2026-09-155.367
2026-09-08561
2026-09-015.786

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 5.26. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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