Tyler Mahle projection
Tyler Mahle (RHP, ATL) projects to strike out 21.4% of batters, walk or hit 8.1% and allow home runs to 2.80%, working about 5.8 innings per start.
2026 season: 29 starts, 162.3 innings, 147 strikeouts, 51 walks + HBP, 20 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.319, CSW 25.778%.
Whiff rate 23.2%, barrels allowed 8%, hard-hit rate 37.1%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1283 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 6.3 | 85 |
| 2026-09-30 | 7 | 95 |
| 2026-09-24 | 5 | 91 |
| 2026-09-18 | 6 | 98 |
| 2026-09-12 | 7 | 97 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.99. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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