Bailey Ober projection
Bailey Ober (RHP, MIN) projects to strike out 21.2% of batters, walk or hit 7.1% and allow home runs to 3.80%, working about 5.0 innings per start.
2026 season: 24 starts, 131 innings, 96 strikeouts, 39 walks + HBP, 21 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.323, CSW 26.316%.
Whiff rate 24.1%, barrels allowed 10.9%, hard-hit rate 39.1%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2252 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | 5 | 86 |
| 2026-09-15 | 5.3 | 101 |
| 2026-09-06 | 4.3 | 84 |
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 80 |
| 2026-08-23 | 5 | 87 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 4.74. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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