Freddy Peralta projection

Freddy Peralta (RHP, TB) projects to strike out 25.8% of batters, walk or hit 10.2% and allow home runs to 3.30%, working about 5.3 innings per start.

2026 season: 33 starts, 173.7 innings, 159 strikeouts, 72 walks + HBP, 24 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.289, CSW 27.187%.

Whiff rate 30.1%, barrels allowed 9.3%, hard-hit rate 34.5%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2736 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-10-054.766
2026-09-255.393
2026-09-195.797
2026-09-13586
2026-09-08692

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 4.77. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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