Dylan Cease projection

Dylan Cease (RHP, TOR) projects to strike out 30.4% of batters, walk or hit 10.7% and allow home runs to 2.50%, working about 5.2 innings per start.

2026 season: 29 starts, 169 innings, 239 strikeouts, 81 walks + HBP, 11 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.29, CSW 28.614%.

Whiff rate 33.4%, barrels allowed 8.6%, hard-hit rate 37.5%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2695 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-182.774
2026-09-13594
2026-09-07594
2026-09-02683
2026-08-28692

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 2.88. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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