Jack Flaherty projection

Jack Flaherty (RHP, DET) projects to strike out 26.1% of batters, walk or hit 10.3% and allow home runs to 3.20%, working about 4.9 innings per start.

2026 season: 19 starts, 88.3 innings, 103 strikeouts, 48 walks + HBP, 11 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.31, CSW 28.294%.

Whiff rate 27.3%, barrels allowed 10.3%, hard-hit rate 43.8%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2210 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-07-20482
2026-07-10686
2026-07-045.788
2026-06-28594
2026-06-12363

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 5.3. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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