Grant Holmes projection

Grant Holmes (RHP, ATL) projects to strike out 21.1% of batters, walk or hit 10.3% and allow home runs to 3.20%, working about 5.0 innings per start.

2026 season: 29 starts, 154.3 innings, 116 strikeouts, 67 walks + HBP, 23 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.329, CSW 26.426%.

Whiff rate 29.7%, barrels allowed 10.1%, hard-hit rate 41.9%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1536 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-19687
2026-09-13471
2026-09-07689
2026-09-02326
2026-08-28584

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.62. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.