Shohei Ohtani projection
Shohei Ohtani (RHP, LAD) projects to strike out 29.7% of batters, walk or hit 9.6% and allow home runs to 2.50%, working about 5.7 innings per start.
2026 season: 14 starts, 85.7 innings, 95 strikeouts, 32 walks + HBP, 4 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.249, CSW 28.951%.
Whiff rate 32.5%, barrels allowed 3.4%, hard-hit rate 30.8%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1014 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | 6 | 110 |
| 2026-06-24 | 6 | 89 |
| 2026-06-17 | 6 | 91 |
| 2026-06-10 | 6.7 | 102 |
| 2026-06-03 | 6 | 89 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 2.21. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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