Daniel Lynch IV projection
Daniel Lynch IV (LHP, KC) projects to strike out 16.8% of batters, walk or hit 9.5% and allow home runs to 3.10%, working about 4.6 innings per start.
2026 season: 10 starts, 86 innings, 56 strikeouts, 30 walks + HBP, 11 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.328, CSW 27.39%.
Whiff rate 22.3%, barrels allowed 8.1%, hard-hit rate 42.5%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1007 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 5.3 | 76 |
| 2026-09-22 | 4 | 78 |
| 2026-09-16 | 5 | 72 |
| 2026-09-09 | 5 | 81 |
| 2026-09-04 | 5 | 70 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 4.5. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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