Nick Lodolo projection
Nick Lodolo (LHP, CIN) projects to strike out 21.9% of batters, walk or hit 10.4% and allow home runs to 3.40%, working about 5.3 innings per start.
2026 season: 21 starts, 108.7 innings, 83 strikeouts, 63 walks + HBP, 20 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.292, CSW 28.168%.
Whiff rate 27.5%, barrels allowed 8.2%, hard-hit rate 40.5%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1750 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 5 | 92 |
| 2026-09-19 | 7 | 90 |
| 2026-09-14 | 7 | 104 |
| 2026-09-08 | 4.7 | 97 |
| 2026-09-01 | 6 | 100 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 4.97. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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