Gavin Williams projection

Gavin Williams (RHP, CLE) projects to strike out 28.6% of batters, walk or hit 10.7% and allow home runs to 3.10%, working about 5.1 innings per start.

2026 season: 34 starts, 196 innings, 272 strikeouts, 73 walks + HBP, 28 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.321, CSW 26.325%.

Whiff rate 27.7%, barrels allowed 9%, hard-hit rate 44.3%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2198 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-10-105.794
2026-10-05598
2026-09-253.374
2026-09-20789
2026-09-145113

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.81. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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