Lake Bachar projection
Lake Bachar (RHP, PIT) projects to strike out 25.5% of batters, walk or hit 10.7% and allow home runs to 3.30%, working about 3.0 innings per start.
2026 season: 12 starts, 86.7 innings, 93 strikeouts, 40 walks + HBP, 13 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.327, CSW 30.709%.
Whiff rate 30.2%, barrels allowed 10.7%, hard-hit rate 41.5%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (775 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | 1.7 | 30 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1 | 20 |
| 2026-09-15 | 2 | 47 |
| 2026-09-09 | 1.7 | 27 |
| 2026-09-03 | 2.3 | 38 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.63. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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