Logan Gilbert projection

Logan Gilbert (RHP, SEA) projects to strike out 27.3% of batters, walk or hit 6.7% and allow home runs to 3.50%, working about 5.1 innings per start.

2026 season: 32 starts, 186 innings, 205 strikeouts, 54 walks + HBP, 29 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.275, CSW 29.267%.

Whiff rate 32.9%, barrels allowed 8.6%, hard-hit rate 41.7%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2645 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-27461
2026-09-22481
2026-09-15696
2026-09-107100
2026-09-044.799

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.73. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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