Tarik Skubal projection
Tarik Skubal (LHP, LAD) projects to strike out 31.0% of batters, walk or hit 6.0% and allow home runs to 2.40%, working about 5.8 innings per start.
2026 season: 27 starts, 164.7 innings, 193 strikeouts, 34 walks + HBP, 15 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.258, CSW 31.836%.
Whiff rate 32.5%, barrels allowed 8.1%, hard-hit rate 33%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2472 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 6 | 94 |
| 2026-09-25 | 7 | 75 |
| 2026-09-19 | 5 | 86 |
| 2026-09-14 | 7 | 90 |
| 2026-09-08 | 7.3 | 94 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 2.9. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
Next start: 2026-10-11 vs MIL
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.