Kodai Senga projection

Kodai Senga (RHP, NYM) projects to strike out 25.5% of batters, walk or hit 13.1% and allow home runs to 3.10%, working about 4.3 innings per start.

2026 season: 8 starts, 61.3 innings, 75 strikeouts, 45 walks + HBP, 14 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.31, CSW 24.711%.

Whiff rate 27.4%, barrels allowed 8%, hard-hit rate 40.6%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1291 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-07-31449
2026-06-233.798
2026-06-16482
2026-04-262.750
2026-04-173.365

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 7.48. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.