Troy Melton projection
Troy Melton (RHP, DET) projects to strike out 20.2% of batters, walk or hit 9.3% and allow home runs to 3.10%, working about 5.0 innings per start.
2026 season: 20 starts, 114.3 innings, 94 strikeouts, 44 walks + HBP, 13 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.297, CSW 25.762%.
Whiff rate 23.3%, barrels allowed 8.6%, hard-hit rate 49.2%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (803 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 3.7 | 83 |
| 2026-09-14 | 2.7 | 76 |
| 2026-09-07 | 5.7 | 91 |
| 2026-09-01 | 5.3 | 96 |
| 2026-08-26 | 7 | 84 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.23. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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