Spencer Strider projection
Spencer Strider (RHP, ATL) projects to strike out 29.0% of batters, walk or hit 10.6% and allow home runs to 3.40%, working about 5.0 innings per start.
2026 season: 8 starts, 39 innings, 46 strikeouts, 21 walks + HBP, 9 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.34, CSW 26.209%.
Whiff rate 30.6%, barrels allowed 10.6%, hard-hit rate 42.7%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1267 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | 3 | 68 |
| 2026-06-06 | 5 | 84 |
| 2026-05-31 | 5 | 90 |
| 2026-05-26 | 5 | 87 |
| 2026-05-21 | 6.3 | 100 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 5.54. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.