Janson Junk projection

Janson Junk (RHP, MIA) projects to strike out 17.3% of batters, walk or hit 6.5% and allow home runs to 2.80%, working about 4.6 innings per start.

2026 season: 25 starts, 123.7 innings, 89 strikeouts, 37 walks + HBP, 15 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.326, CSW 24.168%.

Whiff rate 18.2%, barrels allowed 8.5%, hard-hit rate 47.3%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1158 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-274.764
2026-09-22584
2026-09-15372
2026-09-09360
2026-09-04575

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 4.58. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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