Cade Cavalli projection

Cade Cavalli (RHP, WSH) projects to strike out 26.1% of batters, walk or hit 9.1% and allow home runs to 2.80%, working about 5.5 innings per start.

2026 season: 32 starts, 169.7 innings, 200 strikeouts, 64 walks + HBP, 18 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.315, CSW 28.173%.

Whiff rate 27.9%, barrels allowed 4.5%, hard-hit rate 41.8%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1101 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-18573
2026-09-11696
2026-09-056103
2026-08-29470
2026-08-24693

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.61. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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