Braxton Ashcraft projection

Braxton Ashcraft (RHP, PIT) projects to strike out 25.3% of batters, walk or hit 7.3% and allow home runs to 2.90%, working about 5.6 innings per start.

2026 season: 28 starts, 165.3 innings, 173 strikeouts, 42 walks + HBP, 22 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.289, CSW 27.495%.

Whiff rate 26.2%, barrels allowed 4.7%, hard-hit rate 38.5%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1125 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-05567
2026-08-30571
2026-08-24691
2026-08-18880
2026-08-13985

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.97. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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