Randy Dobnak projection

Randy Dobnak (RHP, KC) projects to strike out 15.8% of batters, walk or hit 9.5% and allow home runs to 2.80%, working about 4.7 innings per start.

2026 season: 13 starts, 74.3 innings, 49 strikeouts, 30 walks + HBP, 7 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.364, CSW 18.987%.

Whiff rate 16.1%, barrels allowed 6.3%, hard-hit rate 56.3%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (456 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-241.342
2026-09-183.774
2026-09-125.781
2026-09-06683
2026-09-01687

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.75. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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