Jack Leiter projection

Jack Leiter (RHP, TEX) projects to strike out 22.4% of batters, walk or hit 11.3% and allow home runs to 3.20%, working about 5.1 innings per start.

2026 season: 15 starts, 80 innings, 83 strikeouts, 39 walks + HBP, 14 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.326, CSW 25.193%.

Whiff rate 24.3%, barrels allowed 10.8%, hard-hit rate 43.9%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1228 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-06-18476
2026-06-125103
2026-06-064.792
2026-05-315.7101
2026-05-26695

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 5.62. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.