Shota Imanaga projection

Shota Imanaga (LHP, CHC) projects to strike out 23.4% of batters, walk or hit 6.0% and allow home runs to 4.30%, working about 4.7 innings per start.

2026 season: 32 starts, 174.3 innings, 174 strikeouts, 44 walks + HBP, 35 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.313, CSW 25.551%.

Whiff rate 24.6%, barrels allowed 11.6%, hard-hit rate 43.5%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (2034 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-27112
2026-09-22591
2026-09-166100
2026-09-116100
2026-09-04694

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.87. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.