Hunter Dobbins projection

Hunter Dobbins (RHP, STL) projects to strike out 20.4% of batters, walk or hit 9.6% and allow home runs to 2.90%, working about 5.0 innings per start.

2026 season: 8 starts, 54 innings, 52 strikeouts, 26 walks + HBP, 7 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.308, CSW 26.853%.

Whiff rate 21.9%, barrels allowed 6.8%, hard-hit rate 41.7%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (544 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-08-21478
2026-08-16596
2026-08-10597
2026-08-046.392
2026-07-22686

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 4. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.